2026 season

Season preview

kicks off Sunday, October 11 · 20,000 simulated seasons · published Oct 10, 2026

Who wins it

the bracket

Seattle Seahawks11.8-5.118.5%

Minnesota Vikings12.4-4.612.5%

Jacksonville Jaguars11.7-5.312.2%

Buffalo Bills11.2-5.812.2%

San Francisco 49ers11.7-5.211.6%

Kansas City Chiefs11.0-5.96.0%

New England Patriots10.0-6.95.2%

Baltimore Ravens10.3-6.73.8%

No injury or roster data, so these stay more concentrated than a futures market.

Projected movement

Projected 2026 wins against the 2025 record actually posted.

Rising

Las Vegas Raiders3 → 8.3-8.6+5.4

New York Giants4 → 9.1-7.8+5.1

Kansas City Chiefs6 → 11.0-5.9+5.1

Cleveland Browns5 → 9.2-7.8+4.2

Minnesota Vikings9 → 12.4-4.6+3.4

Falling

Los Angeles Chargers11 → 5.0-12.0-6.0

Houston Texans12 → 6.8-10.2-5.2

Denver Broncos14 → 9.7-7.3-4.3

New England Patriots14 → 10.0-6.9-3.9

Miami Dolphins7 → 4.5-12.5-2.5

Division favourites

AFC East

BUF63.0%

AFC North

BAL47.8%

AFC South

JAX87.5%

AFC West

KC66.4%

NFC East

NYG47.4%

NFC North

MIN74.6%

NFC South

ATL45.2%

NFC West

SEA47.8%

Winners take seeds 1–4 regardless of record.

The record starts at zero

the accounting

Forecasts logged: 272
Games played: 65
Scored: 65

Every 2026 forecast is already logged, strictly before its kickoff — this season's record cannot be quietly rewritten later.