2005 games

267 games over 17 weeks · 267 carry a retrodicted forecast

The model column is a backtest — refit strictly before each week, but read by nobody before kickoff.

Week 1

NE30proj +14.085%2005-09-11

BUF22proj +8.273%2005-09-11

CLE13proj -4.538%2005-09-11

DET17proj -2.843%2005-09-11

KC27proj +2.257%2005-09-11

MIA34proj -0.549%2005-09-11

MIN13proj +3.561%2005-09-11

NYG42proj +1.856%2005-09-11

PIT34proj +9.877%2005-09-11

LAC24proj +8.273%2005-09-11

SF28proj -3.740%2005-09-11

WSH9proj +6.068%2005-09-11

CAR20proj +3.060%2005-09-11

JAX26proj +3.962%2005-09-12

BAL7proj -0.849%2005-09-13

ATL14proj +0.251%

Week 2

CHI38proj -2.544%2005-09-18

CIN37proj +6.268%2005-09-18

DEN20proj -1.347%2005-09-18

GB24proj +8.073%2005-09-18

TEN25proj -1.347%2005-09-18

IND10proj +6.168%2005-09-18

NYJ17proj +1.555%2005-09-18

PHI42proj +10.879%2005-09-18

ARI12proj -1.048%2005-09-18

SEA21proj -1.347%2005-09-18

TB19proj -2.544%2005-09-18

CAR27proj -1.746%2005-09-18

HOU7proj -3.142%2005-09-19

LV17proj -6.732%2005-09-19

NO10proj +5.867%2005-09-20

DAL13proj +0.853%

Week 3

BUF16proj +5.867%2005-09-25

CHI7proj -2.145%2005-09-25

GB16proj +1.355%2005-09-25

IND13proj +12.883%2005-09-25

LAR31proj +5.065%2005-09-25

MIA27proj +0.452%2005-09-25

MIN33proj +0.552%2005-09-25

NYJ20proj +4.363%2005-09-25

PHI23proj +10.478%2005-09-25

PIT20proj +2.959%2005-09-25

SF31proj -2.045%2005-09-25

SEA37proj +4.162%2005-09-26

LAC45proj +4.664%2005-09-27

DEN30proj -2.045%

Week 4

ATL30proj +6.368%2005-10-02

CIN16proj +7.872%2005-10-02

TEN10proj -6.233%2005-10-02

KC31proj +3.059%2005-10-02

LV19proj 0.051%2005-10-02

NE17proj +7.772%2005-10-02

NO19proj -0.250%2005-10-02

NYG44proj +2.758%2005-10-02

TB17proj +6.168%2005-10-02

WSH20proj +4.664%2005-10-02

JAX7proj +2.558%2005-10-02

BAL13proj +2.658%2005-10-03

ARI31proj +3.460%2005-10-04

CAR32proj +6.067%

Week 5

ATL28proj +1.555%2005-10-09

BUF20proj +1.455%2005-10-09

CLE20proj +1.455%2005-10-09

DAL33proj -4.040%2005-10-09

DEN21proj +5.566%2005-10-09

DET35proj +1.154%2005-10-09

GB52proj +3.060%2005-10-09

LAR31proj +1.655%2005-10-09

NYJ14proj +1.455%2005-10-09

ARI20proj -2.444%2005-10-09

SF3proj -9.226%2005-10-09

HOU20proj +2.658%2005-10-10

JAX23proj -0.749%2005-10-11

LAC22proj +0.151%

Week 6

BUF27proj +3.661%2005-10-16

CHI28proj -1.048%2005-10-16

DAL16proj +0.251%2005-10-16

DEN28proj +2.157%2005-10-16

DET20proj +0.151%2005-10-16

TEN23proj -2.245%2005-10-16

KC28proj +5.767%2005-10-16

LV14proj -5.236%2005-10-16

NO31proj -2.743%2005-10-16

PIT17proj +9.676%2005-10-16

TB27proj +5.265%2005-10-16

BAL16proj +4.162%2005-10-17

SEA42proj +7.671%2005-10-18

IND45proj +12.382%

Week 7

MIA20proj +0.653%2005-10-23

CHI10proj +3.059%2005-10-23

CIN13proj +2.658%2005-10-23

CLE10proj +2.458%2005-10-23

LV38proj -1.347%2005-10-23

LAR28proj +4.664%2005-10-23

MIN23proj -3.042%2005-10-23

NYG24proj +0.452%2005-10-23

PHI20proj +2.458%2005-10-23

ARI20proj +2.859%2005-10-23

SEA13proj +4.764%2005-10-23

WSH52proj +10.378%2005-10-23

HOU20proj -10.323%2005-10-25

ATL27proj +7.872%

Week 8

CIN21proj +7.070%2005-10-30

DAL34proj +7.571%2005-10-30

DEN49proj +3.761%2005-10-30

DET13proj +2.758%2005-10-30

TEN25proj +3.360%2005-10-30

LAR24proj +0.552%2005-10-30

NO6proj +3.461%2005-10-30

NYG36proj +2.759%2005-10-30

LAC28proj +4.764%2005-10-30

SF15proj -6.632%2005-10-30

CAR38proj +9.676%2005-10-30

HOU19proj +2.357%2005-10-31

NE21proj +7.070%2005-11-01

PIT20proj +8.975%

Week 9

CLE20proj +4.564%2005-11-06

GB10proj -2.843%2005-11-06

KC27proj +4.965%2005-11-06

MIA10proj -0.649%2005-11-06

MIN27proj +0.352%2005-11-06

NO17proj -0.549%2005-11-06

NYJ26proj -1.347%2005-11-06

ARI19proj -3.940%2005-11-06

SF6proj -5.735%2005-11-06

TB14proj +0.753%2005-11-06

JAX21proj +9.376%2005-11-06

BAL9proj -1.646%2005-11-07

WSH17proj -0.450%2005-11-08

NE21proj -1.048%

Week 10

ATL25proj +8.774%2005-11-13

BUF14proj +1.756%2005-11-13

CHI17proj +12.883%2005-11-13

DET29proj +6.569%2005-11-13

IND31proj +18.692%2005-11-13

LV17proj -4.937%2005-11-13

MIA16proj -2.244%2005-11-13

NYG21proj +10.678%2005-11-13

SEA31proj +5.466%2005-11-13

TB36proj +4.664%2005-11-13

CAR30proj +10.879%2005-11-13

JAX30proj +8.173%2005-11-14

PIT34proj +12.282%2005-11-15

PHI20proj +0.452%

Week 11

ATL27proj +4.965%2005-11-20

CHI13proj -0.749%2005-11-20

CIN37proj -1.048%2005-11-20

CLE22proj +3.862%2005-11-20

DAL20proj +9.075%2005-11-20

DEN27proj +13.384%2005-11-20

TEN28proj -3.441%2005-11-20

LAR28proj +6.068%2005-11-20

NE24proj +12.282%2005-11-20

NYG27proj +3.059%2005-11-20

LAC48proj +10.178%2005-11-20

SF25proj -10.224%2005-11-20

WSH13proj +5.366%2005-11-20

BAL16proj -6.832%2005-11-21

HOU17proj -2.145%2005-11-22

GB17proj +5.366%

Week 12

DAL21proj -1.148%2005-11-24

DET7proj -0.649%2005-11-27

BUF9proj -1.447%2005-11-27

CIN42proj +7.872%2005-11-27

TEN33proj +7.571%2005-11-27

KC26proj +2.658%2005-11-27

LV21proj +6.870%2005-11-27

MIN24proj +6.368%2005-11-27

PHI19proj +2.056%2005-11-27

ARI17proj -2.643%2005-11-27

SEA24proj +5.366%2005-11-27

TB10proj +3.460%2005-11-27

WSH17proj -4.239%2005-11-27

HOU27proj +0.753%2005-11-28

NYJ19proj +6.569%2005-11-29

IND26proj +8.874%

Week 13

CHI19proj +5.265%2005-12-04

CLE14proj -1.746%2005-12-04

DET16proj -2.045%2005-12-04

IND35proj +17.590%2005-12-04

KC31proj -0.449%2005-12-04

LAR9proj +3.159%2005-12-04

MIA24proj +2.257%2005-12-04

NE16proj +9.376%2005-12-04

NO3proj -1.945%2005-12-04

NYG17proj +5.065%2005-12-04

PIT31proj +4.062%2005-12-04

SF10proj -2.045%2005-12-04

CAR24proj +5.566%2005-12-04

BAL16proj +9.175%2005-12-05

LAC34proj +11.079%2005-12-06

PHI0proj -1.048%

Week 14

BUF7proj -2.543%2005-12-11

CIN23proj +10.378%2005-12-11

DAL31proj +1.454%2005-12-11

DEN12proj +12.883%2005-12-11

TEN13proj +5.767%2005-12-11

MIN27proj +7.772%2005-12-11

NYJ26proj +2.658%2005-12-11

PHI23proj -2.543%2005-12-11

ARI13proj +0.953%2005-12-11

PIT21proj +4.062%2005-12-11

LAC21proj +13.484%2005-12-11

SEA41proj +18.692%2005-12-11

CAR10proj +8.173%2005-12-11

JAX18proj -5.635%2005-12-12

GB16proj +6.468%2005-12-13

ATL36proj +10.378%

Week 15

NE28proj +6.970%2005-12-17

NYG27proj +4.262%2005-12-18

BUF17proj -5.934%2005-12-18

DET17proj -5.435%2005-12-18

TEN24proj -8.028%2005-12-18

IND17proj +8.574%2005-12-18

LV7proj +3.360%2005-12-18

LAR16proj +2.758%2005-12-18

MIA24proj +5.666%2005-12-18

MIN3proj +1.254%2005-12-18

NO10proj -6.632%2005-12-18

WSH35proj +1.254%2005-12-18

JAX10proj +17.190%2005-12-18

HOU30proj +1.254%2005-12-19

CHI16proj +2.658%2005-12-20

BAL48proj +3.360%

Week 16

CIN27proj +14.285%2005-12-24

CLE0proj -5.335%2005-12-24

DEN22proj +14.285%2005-12-24

KC20proj -3.840%2005-12-24

LAR20proj +7.872%2005-12-24

MIA24proj +8.273%2005-12-24

NO12proj +4.363%2005-12-24

ARI27proj +1.655%2005-12-24

SEA28proj -0.150%2005-12-24

TB27proj +0.853%2005-12-24

WSH35proj -0.449%2005-12-24

CAR20proj +9.576%2005-12-24

HOU20proj -6.532%2005-12-25

GB17proj -2.942%2005-12-26

BAL30proj +3.962%2005-12-27

NYJ21proj -6.831%

Week 17

LAC7proj +0.752%2006-01-01

LV21proj -4.239%2006-01-01

ATL11proj -0.549%2006-01-01

CLE20proj -2.543%2006-01-01

GB23proj -7.829%2006-01-01

IND17proj +16.589%2006-01-01

KC37proj +3.159%2006-01-01

MIN34proj -0.549%2006-01-01

NE26proj +10.778%2006-01-01

NYJ30proj +1.856%2006-01-01

PHI20proj -3.142%2006-01-01

PIT35proj +16.589%2006-01-01

SF20proj +2.859%2006-01-01

TB27proj +10.378%2006-01-01

JAX40proj +11.981%2006-01-02

DAL10proj +10.177%

Postseason

TB10proj +1.455%wild-card

NE28proj +4.463%wild-card

CIN17proj -3.042%wild-card

NYG0proj +0.552%divisional

SEA20proj +6.769%divisional

DEN27proj +5.065%divisional

CHI21proj +0.452%divisional

IND18proj +4.664%conference

DEN17proj +3.561%conference

SEA34proj +2.758%super-bowl

PIT21proj +5.165%