2013
256 regular-season games · 11 in the postseason · SEA won the Super Bowl
The postseason
Wild cardDivisionalConference championshipSuper Bowl
The connectors are drawn from who actually appeared in each game, not from a fixed tree — the NFL reseeds after every round, so the winner of one wild-card game can land in either divisional game. Where two lines cross, that is the reseeding. The top two seeds in each conference had a bye in 2013 and enter at the divisional round.
American Football Conference
| AFC East | w-l | pf | pa | diff | seed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 New England Patriots | 12-4 | 444 | 338 | +106 | 2 |
 Miami Dolphins | 8-8 | 317 | 335 | -18 | — |
 New York Jets | 8-8 | 290 | 387 | -97 | — |
 Buffalo Bills | 6-10 | 339 | 388 | -49 | — |
| AFC North | w-l | pf | pa | diff | seed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cincinnati Bengals | 11-5 | 430 | 305 | +125 | 3 |
 Pittsburgh Steelers | 8-8 | 379 | 370 | +9 | — |
 Baltimore Ravens | 8-8 | 320 | 352 | -32 | — |
 Cleveland Browns | 4-12 | 308 | 406 | -98 | — |
| AFC South | w-l | pf | pa | diff | seed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Indianapolis Colts | 11-5 | 391 | 336 | +55 | 4 |
 Tennessee Titans | 7-9 | 362 | 381 | -19 | — |
 Jacksonville Jaguars | 4-12 | 247 | 449 | -202 | — |
 Houston Texans | 2-14 | 276 | 428 | -152 | — |
| AFC West | w-l | pf | pa | diff | seed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Denver Broncos | 13-3 | 606 | 399 | +207 | 1 |
 Kansas City Chiefs | 11-5 | 430 | 305 | +125 | 5 |
 Los Angeles Chargers | 9-7 | 396 | 348 | +48 | 6 |
 Las Vegas Raiders | 4-12 | 322 | 453 | -131 | — |
National Football Conference
| NFC East | w-l | pf | pa | diff | seed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Philadelphia Eagles | 10-6 | 442 | 382 | +60 | 3 |
 Dallas Cowboys | 8-8 | 439 | 432 | +7 | — |
 New York Giants | 7-9 | 294 | 383 | -89 | — |
 Washington Commanders | 3-13 | 334 | 478 | -144 | — |
| NFC North | w-l | pf | pa | diff | seed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Green Bay Packers | 8-7-1 | 417 | 428 | -11 | 4 |
 Chicago Bears | 8-8 | 445 | 478 | -33 | — |
 Detroit Lions | 7-9 | 395 | 376 | +19 | — |
 Minnesota Vikings | 5-10-1 | 391 | 480 | -89 | — |
| NFC South | w-l | pf | pa | diff | seed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Carolina Panthers | 12-4 | 366 | 241 | +125 | 2 |
 New Orleans Saints | 11-5 | 414 | 304 | +110 | 6 |
 Atlanta Falcons | 4-12 | 353 | 443 | -90 | — |
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 4-12 | 288 | 389 | -101 | — |
| NFC West | w-l | pf | pa | diff | seed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Seattle Seahawks | 13-3 | 417 | 231 | +186 | 1 |
 San Francisco 49ers | 12-4 | 406 | 272 | +134 | 5 |
 Arizona Cardinals | 10-6 | 379 | 324 | +55 | — |
 Los Angeles Rams | 7-9 | 348 | 364 | -16 | — |
Where the model was most wrong
2013-12-13LAC 27 – 20 DENgave the winner 21.4%2013-11-10LAR 38 – 8 INDgave the winner 22.0%2013-11-10JAX 29 – 27 TENgave the winner 22.1%2013-11-10PHI 27 – 13 GBgave the winner 23.3%2013-12-22ARI 17 – 10 SEAgave the winner 24.3%
Backtest — the walk-forward never saw these results, but nobody read its numbers before kickoff either.