2007 games

267 games over 17 weeks · 267 carry a retrodicted forecast

The model column is a backtest — refit strictly before each week, but read by nobody before kickoff.

Week 1

IND41proj +7.371%2007-09-09

BUF14proj +3.159%2007-09-09

CLE7proj -5.037%2007-09-09

GB16proj +1.154%2007-09-09

LV21proj +1.655%2007-09-09

LAR13proj +2.558%2007-09-09

MIN24proj +3.059%2007-09-09

NYJ14proj -1.945%2007-09-09

LAC14proj +6.067%2007-09-09

SEA20proj +7.671%2007-09-09

WSH16proj +1.354%2007-09-09

JAX10proj +3.962%2007-09-09

HOU20proj -0.250%2007-09-10

DAL45proj +2.859%2007-09-10

CIN27proj -0.749%2007-09-11

SF20proj +2.257%

Week 2

CHI20proj +5.767%2007-09-16

CLE51proj -7.031%2007-09-16

DEN23proj +10.879%2007-09-16

DET20proj +0.452%2007-09-16

TEN20proj -2.743%2007-09-16

LAR16proj +1.555%2007-09-16

MIA20proj +1.956%2007-09-16

NYG13proj +2.257%2007-09-16

ARI23proj -0.749%2007-09-16

PIT26proj +6.368%2007-09-16

TB31proj -0.948%2007-09-16

CAR21proj +5.767%2007-09-16

JAX13proj +8.173%2007-09-16

BAL20proj +7.772%2007-09-17

NE38proj +3.260%2007-09-18

PHI12proj +5.165%

Week 3

ATL20proj -1.148%2007-09-23

DEN14proj +3.561%2007-09-23

GB31proj +0.151%2007-09-23

KC13proj +3.761%2007-09-23

LV26proj +0.652%2007-09-23

NE38proj +10.378%2007-09-23

NYJ31proj +3.360%2007-09-23

PHI56proj +6.669%2007-09-23

PIT37proj +9.576%2007-09-23

SEA24proj +2.357%2007-09-23

TB24proj +2.057%2007-09-23

WSH17proj +5.365%2007-09-23

BAL26proj +8.774%2007-09-23

HOU24proj -4.638%2007-09-24

CHI10proj +4.463%2007-09-25

NO14proj +1.254%

Week 4

ATL26proj -0.849%2007-09-30

BUF17proj +1.756%2007-09-30

CLE27proj -6.532%2007-09-30

DAL35proj +9.376%2007-09-30

DET37proj -2.344%2007-09-30

IND38proj +9.877%2007-09-30

MIA17proj +7.170%2007-09-30

MIN16proj -3.042%2007-09-30

ARI21proj -4.737%2007-09-30

LAC16proj +6.769%2007-09-30

SF3proj -1.547%2007-09-30

CAR7proj +3.661%2007-10-01

NYG16proj -1.347%2007-10-02

CIN13proj -4.338%

Week 5

DEN3proj +0.352%2007-10-07

TEN20proj +10.177%2007-10-07

IND33proj +10.979%2007-10-07

KC7proj +0.151%2007-10-07

LAR31proj -0.749%2007-10-07

NE34proj +16.188%2007-10-07

NO13proj +1.956%2007-10-07

NYG35proj +3.561%2007-10-07

PIT21proj +5.466%2007-10-07

SF7proj -2.344%2007-10-07

WSH34proj +5.867%2007-10-07

HOU22proj +6.168%2007-10-08

GB20proj +6.569%2007-10-09

BUF24proj -1.746%

Week 6

CHI31proj +4.062%2007-10-14

CLE41proj +4.864%2007-10-14

DAL27proj -0.848%2007-10-14

GB17proj +5.967%2007-10-14

KC27proj +1.655%2007-10-14

NYJ9proj -1.048%2007-10-14

ARI10proj +2.758%2007-10-14

LAC28proj +8.774%2007-10-14

TB13proj +1.254%2007-10-14

JAX37proj +6.168%2007-10-14

BAL22proj +9.576%2007-10-15

SEA17proj +8.273%2007-10-16

ATL10proj -0.848%

Week 7

BUF19proj +1.555%2007-10-21

CIN38proj +4.664%2007-10-21

DAL24proj +8.774%2007-10-21

DET23proj +1.054%2007-10-21

LV10proj -4.139%2007-10-21

MIA28proj -13.616%2007-10-21

NO22proj +3.260%2007-10-21

NYG33proj +7.371%2007-10-21

PHI16proj +3.962%2007-10-21

SEA33proj +6.569%2007-10-21

WSH21proj +4.664%2007-10-21

HOU36proj -0.749%2007-10-22

DEN31proj -2.942%2007-10-23

JAX7proj -4.837%

Week 8

CHI7proj +4.664%2007-10-28

CIN13proj -3.042%2007-10-28

TEN13proj +9.777%2007-10-28

LAR20proj -2.145%2007-10-28

MIA10proj -5.336%2007-10-28

MIN16proj +0.352%2007-10-28

NE52proj +13.885%2007-10-28

NYJ3proj -1.447%2007-10-28

LAC35proj +10.879%2007-10-28

SF10proj +0.753%2007-10-28

TB23proj -1.347%2007-10-28

CAR7proj -3.740%2007-10-30

DEN13proj -2.743%

Week 9

ATL20proj +5.065%2007-11-04

BUF33proj +4.563%2007-11-04

CLE33proj -0.749%2007-11-04

DET44proj +2.658%2007-11-04

TEN20proj +4.463%2007-11-04

IND20proj +2.157%2007-11-04

KC22proj +1.555%2007-11-04

LV17proj +0.151%2007-11-04

MIN35proj -5.236%2007-11-04

NO41proj -1.147%2007-11-04

NYJ20proj -0.748%2007-11-04

TB17proj +3.059%2007-11-05

PHI17proj -3.142%2007-11-06

PIT38proj +3.059%

Week 10

GB34proj +7.270%2007-11-11

TEN13proj +2.859%2007-11-11

KC11proj +4.964%2007-11-11

LV6proj -3.341%2007-11-11

MIA10proj -3.940%2007-11-11

NO29proj +9.877%2007-11-11

NYG20proj +0.953%2007-11-11

ARI31proj -0.050%2007-11-11

PIT31proj +10.077%2007-11-11

WSH25proj +1.455%2007-11-11

CAR13proj +5.666%2007-11-11

BAL7proj +5.165%2007-11-12

LAC23proj -3.740%2007-11-13

SEA24proj +8.173%

Week 11

ATL7proj -3.540%2007-11-18

CIN27proj +3.962%2007-11-18

DAL28proj +9.476%2007-11-18

DET10proj +0.251%2007-11-18

GB31proj +10.578%2007-11-18

IND13proj +13.283%2007-11-18

MIN29proj +6.669%2007-11-18

NYJ19proj -6.233%2007-11-18

PHI17proj +10.378%2007-11-18

SF9proj +0.452%2007-11-18

SEA30proj +4.363%2007-11-18

JAX24proj +2.858%2007-11-18

BAL30proj +1.655%2007-11-18

HOU23proj +2.959%2007-11-19

BUF10proj -10.922%2007-11-20

DEN34proj -0.350%

Week 12

DAL34proj +13.183%2007-11-22

DET26proj -5.934%2007-11-23

ATL13proj -10.323%2007-11-25

CHI37proj +2.457%2007-11-25

CIN35proj +0.251%2007-11-25

CLE27proj +4.363%2007-11-25

KC17proj +6.769%2007-11-25

LAR19proj -5.436%2007-11-25

NYG17proj +8.173%2007-11-25

ARI31proj +8.574%2007-11-25

LAC32proj +7.671%2007-11-25

TB19proj +6.268%2007-11-25

CAR6proj -0.350%2007-11-25

JAX36proj +6.569%2007-11-26

NE31proj +15.487%2007-11-27

PIT3proj +15.287%

Week 13

DAL37proj +3.761%2007-12-02

CHI16proj +2.357%2007-12-02

TEN28proj +1.956%2007-12-02

IND28proj +4.964%2007-12-02

KC10proj -5.037%2007-12-02

LV34proj -3.740%2007-12-02

LAR28proj +3.761%2007-12-02

MIA13proj +0.552%2007-12-02

MIN42proj +4.363%2007-12-02

NO23proj +0.853%2007-12-02

PHI24proj +1.655%2007-12-02

ARI27proj +0.753%2007-12-02

WSH16proj +0.953%2007-12-02

CAR31proj +4.864%2007-12-03

PIT24proj +7.070%2007-12-04

BAL24proj -12.319%

Week 14

WSH24proj +0.452%2007-12-09

BUF38proj +9.275%2007-12-09

CIN19proj +6.568%2007-12-09

DEN41proj +2.357%2007-12-09

DET27proj -6.233%2007-12-09

GB38proj +11.981%2007-12-09

TEN17proj -2.942%2007-12-09

NE34proj +10.678%2007-12-09

NYJ18proj +0.351%2007-12-09

PHI13proj -0.051%2007-12-09

SF7proj -5.336%2007-12-09

SEA42proj +4.864%2007-12-09

JAX37proj +10.378%2007-12-09

HOU28proj -1.646%2007-12-10

BAL20proj -8.228%2007-12-11

ATL14proj -5.236%

Week 15

HOU31proj +1.956%2007-12-16

SF20proj -5.136%2007-12-16

CLE8proj +3.360%2007-12-16

DAL6proj +9.576%2007-12-16

KC17proj -0.250%2007-12-16

LV14proj -12.618%2007-12-16

LAR14proj -7.729%2007-12-16

MIA22proj -2.842%2007-12-16

NE20proj +18.992%2007-12-16

NO31proj +7.170%2007-12-16

PIT22proj +3.059%2007-12-16

LAC51proj +11.480%2007-12-16

TB37proj +9.075%2007-12-16

CAR13proj -4.937%2007-12-17

NYG10proj +6.368%2007-12-18

MIN20proj +6.368%

Week 16

LAR24proj -5.834%2007-12-23

CAR13proj -7.231%2007-12-23

BUF21proj +2.858%2007-12-23

CHI35proj -7.430%2007-12-23

CIN19proj -1.147%2007-12-23

DET25proj +4.663%2007-12-23

TEN10proj +6.468%2007-12-23

IND38proj +12.081%2007-12-23

NE28proj +22.795%2007-12-23

NO23proj +4.463%2007-12-23

ARI30proj +8.573%2007-12-23

SF21proj -5.435%2007-12-23

SEA27proj +11.079%2007-12-23

JAX49proj +15.287%2007-12-24

MIN21proj +7.270%2007-12-25

LAC23proj +9.676%

Week 17

NYG35proj -9.126%2007-12-30

ATL44proj -8.627%2007-12-30

CHI33proj +3.360%2007-12-30

CLE20proj +9.275%2007-12-30

DEN22proj -0.350%2007-12-30

GB34proj +10.177%2007-12-30

LV17proj -11.820%2007-12-30

MIA25proj -4.637%2007-12-30

NYJ13proj +5.065%2007-12-30

PHI17proj +6.869%2007-12-30

ARI48proj +5.766%2007-12-30

TB23proj +6.769%2007-12-30

WSH27proj -3.740%2007-12-30

BAL27proj -7.530%2007-12-30

HOU42proj -6.034%2007-12-31

IND10proj +12.281%

Postseason

SEA35proj +3.159%wild-card

PIT29proj +0.853%wild-card

LAC17proj +9.175%wild-card

TB14proj +2.658%divisional

GB42proj +7.571%divisional

NE31proj +12.883%divisional

DAL17proj +6.669%divisional

IND24proj +6.869%conference

GB20proj +6.167%conference

NE21proj +8.373%super-bowl

NE14proj +12.582%