2010 games
267 games over 17 weeks · 267 carry a retrodicted forecast
The model column is a backtest — refit strictly before each week, but read by nobody before kickoff.
Week 1
2010-09-10
MIN9@
NO14proj +4.363%2010-09-12
MIA15@
BUF10proj +1.154%2010-09-12
DET14@
CHI19proj +8.473%2010-09-12
LV13@
TEN38proj +9.876%2010-09-12
ARI17@
LAR13proj -7.630%2010-09-12
CIN24@
NE38proj +6.268%2010-09-12
CAR18@
NYG31proj -1.247%2010-09-12
GB27@
PHI20proj +1.956%2010-09-12
ATL9@
PIT15proj +3.560%2010-09-12
SF6@
SEA31proj -4.837%2010-09-12
CLE14@
TB17proj +1.455%2010-09-12
DEN17@
JAX24proj +1.455%2010-09-12
IND24@
HOU34proj -0.150%2010-09-13
DAL7@
WSH13proj -5.336%2010-09-13
BAL10@
NYJ9proj +3.560%2010-09-14
LAC14@
KC21proj -8.229%
Week 2
2010-09-19
ARI7@
ATL41proj +2.859%2010-09-19
BAL10@
CIN15proj -4.139%2010-09-19
KC16@
CLE14proj +3.761%2010-09-19
CHI27@
DAL20proj +6.669%2010-09-19
SEA14@
DEN31proj +4.162%2010-09-19
PHI35@
DET32proj -7.331%2010-09-19
BUF7@
GB34proj +9.876%2010-09-19
PIT19@
TEN11proj +3.059%2010-09-19
LAR14@
LV16proj +5.466%2010-09-19
MIA14@
MIN10proj +6.268%2010-09-19
NE14@
NYJ28proj +2.457%2010-09-19
JAX13@
LAC38proj +9.175%2010-09-19
HOU30@
WSH27proj -1.945%2010-09-19
TB20@
CAR7proj +6.268%2010-09-20
NYG14@
IND38proj +5.466%2010-09-21
NO25@
SF22proj -3.441%
Week 3
2010-09-26
IND27@
DEN13proj -0.749%2010-09-26
SF10@
KC31proj +1.555%2010-09-26
WSH16@
LAR30proj -3.341%2010-09-26
DET10@
MIN24proj +13.183%2010-09-26
BUF30@
NE38proj +6.668%2010-09-26
ATL27@
NO24proj +5.465%2010-09-26
TEN29@
NYG10proj +0.953%2010-09-26
LV23@
ARI24proj +7.771%2010-09-26
LAC20@
SEA27proj -5.036%2010-09-26
PIT38@
TB13proj -1.447%2010-09-26
CIN20@
CAR7proj +4.362%2010-09-26
PHI28@
JAX3proj -1.945%2010-09-26
CLE17@
BAL24proj +7.872%2010-09-26
DAL27@
HOU13proj +5.465%2010-09-27
NYJ31@
MIA23proj -2.244%2010-09-28
GB17@
CHI20proj -3.541%
Week 4
2010-10-03
SF14@
ATL16proj +9.175%2010-10-03
NYJ38@
BUF14proj -7.131%2010-10-03
CIN20@
CLE23proj -1.846%2010-10-03
DET26@
GB28proj +15.887%2010-10-03
DEN26@
TEN20proj +7.872%2010-10-03
HOU31@
LV24proj -4.538%2010-10-03
SEA3@
LAR20proj -2.743%2010-10-03
CAR14@
NO16proj +7.972%2010-10-03
WSH17@
PHI12proj +8.473%2010-10-03
BAL17@
PIT14proj +3.661%2010-10-03
ARI10@
LAC41proj +6.669%2010-10-03
IND28@
JAX31proj -7.031%2010-10-04
CHI3@
NYG17proj -0.350%2010-10-05
NE41@
MIA14proj -1.247%
Week 5
2010-10-10
JAX36@
BUF26proj +2.157%2010-10-10
TB24@
CIN21proj +2.558%2010-10-10
ATL20@
CLE10proj -3.142%2010-10-10
TEN34@
DAL27proj +6.568%2010-10-10
LAR6@
DET44proj -0.848%2010-10-10
KC9@
IND19proj +5.666%2010-10-10
LAC27@
LV35proj -8.627%2010-10-10
NO20@
ARI30proj -4.338%2010-10-10
GB13@
WSH16proj -4.239%2010-10-10
CHI23@
CAR6proj +2.056%2010-10-10
DEN17@
BAL31proj +7.571%2010-10-10
NYG34@
HOU10proj +7.170%2010-10-11
PHI27@
SF24proj -1.546%2010-10-12
MIN20@
NYJ29proj +4.363%
Week 6
2010-10-17
SEA23@
CHI20proj +6.568%2010-10-17
NYJ24@
DEN20proj -4.837%2010-10-17
MIA23@
GB20proj +6.568%2010-10-17
LAC17@
LAR20proj -6.433%2010-10-17
DAL21@
MIN24proj +3.761%2010-10-17
BAL20@
NE23proj +5.566%2010-10-17
DET20@
NYG28proj +10.377%2010-10-17
ATL17@
PHI31proj +0.251%2010-10-17
CLE10@
PIT28proj +11.279%2010-10-17
LV9@
SF17proj +3.761%2010-10-17
NO31@
TB6proj -4.039%2010-10-17
KC31@
HOU35proj +4.663%2010-10-18
IND27@
WSH24proj -3.840%2010-10-19
TEN30@
JAX3proj -2.942%
Week 7
2010-10-24
CIN32@
ATL39proj +5.065%2010-10-24
WSH17@
CHI14proj +6.067%2010-10-24
LV59@
DEN14proj +4.563%2010-10-24
PHI19@
TEN37proj +4.162%2010-10-24
JAX20@
KC42proj +5.365%2010-10-24
PIT23@
MIA22proj -2.743%2010-10-24
CLE30@
NO17proj +12.281%2010-10-24
NE23@
LAC20proj +0.251%2010-10-24
ARI10@
SEA22proj -3.242%2010-10-24
LAR17@
TB18proj +6.769%2010-10-24
SF20@
CAR23proj +5.466%2010-10-24
BUF34@
BAL37proj +9.676%2010-10-25
MIN24@
GB28proj +1.655%2010-10-26
NYG41@
DAL35proj +1.755%
Week 8
2010-10-31
MIA22@
CIN14proj +2.558%2010-10-31
JAX35@
DAL17proj +7.571%2010-10-31
WSH25@
DET37proj -0.051%2010-10-31
BUF10@
KC13proj +8.774%2010-10-31
SEA3@
LV33proj +2.758%2010-10-31
CAR10@
LAR20proj -0.549%2010-10-31
MIN18@
NE28proj +6.167%2010-10-31
GB9@
NYJ0proj +8.974%2010-10-31
TB38@
ARI35proj +3.560%2010-10-31
TEN25@
LAC33proj -0.848%2010-10-31
DEN16@
SF24proj +4.463%2010-11-01
PIT10@
NO20proj +1.154%2010-11-02
HOU17@
IND30proj +5.666%
Week 9
2010-11-07
TB21@
ATL27proj +8.874%2010-11-07
CHI22@
BUF19proj -4.538%2010-11-07
NE14@
CLE34proj -2.145%2010-11-07
NYJ23@
DET20proj -6.333%2010-11-07
KC20@
LV23proj +1.053%2010-11-07
ARI24@
MIN27proj +6.167%2010-11-07
IND24@
PHI26proj +2.056%2010-11-07
NYG41@
SEA7proj -4.040%2010-11-07
NO34@
CAR3proj -6.134%2010-11-07
MIA10@
BAL26proj +8.473%2010-11-07
LAC29@
HOU23proj +1.354%2010-11-08
DAL7@
GB45proj +9.676%2010-11-09
PIT27@
CIN21proj -4.538%
Week 10
2010-11-12
BAL21@
ATL26proj +2.758%2010-11-14
DET12@
BUF14proj +1.856%2010-11-14
MIN13@
CHI27proj +0.853%2010-11-14
NYJ26@
CLE20proj -2.544%2010-11-14
KC29@
DEN49proj -0.948%2010-11-14
CIN17@
IND23proj +10.678%2010-11-14
TEN17@
MIA29proj -3.940%2010-11-14
DAL33@
NYG20proj +9.074%2010-11-14
SEA36@
ARI18proj +3.160%2010-11-14
LAR20@
SF23proj +2.558%2010-11-14
CAR16@
TB31proj +4.764%2010-11-14
HOU24@
JAX31proj +2.357%2010-11-15
NE39@
PIT26proj +4.363%2010-11-16
PHI59@
WSH28proj -1.148%
Week 11
2010-11-19
CHI16@
MIA0proj +2.357%2010-11-21
BUF49@
CIN31proj +6.468%2010-11-21
DET19@
DAL35proj +7.170%2010-11-21
WSH19@
TEN16proj +9.576%2010-11-21
ARI13@
KC31proj +5.365%2010-11-21
ATL34@
LAR17proj -5.635%2010-11-21
GB31@
MIN3proj -6.034%2010-11-21
IND28@
NE31proj +2.758%2010-11-21
SEA19@
NO34proj +13.283%2010-11-21
HOU27@
NYJ30proj +11.179%2010-11-21
LV3@
PIT35proj +3.861%2010-11-21
TB21@
SF0proj +2.157%2010-11-21
BAL37@
CAR13proj -6.433%2010-11-21
CLE20@
JAX24proj +2.157%2010-11-22
NYG17@
PHI27proj +3.962%2010-11-23
DEN14@
LAC35proj +10.678%
Week 12
2010-11-25
NO30@
DAL27proj -2.643%2010-11-25
NE45@
DET24proj -8.029%2010-11-26
CIN10@
NYJ26proj +13.684%2010-11-28
GB17@
ATL20proj +1.956%2010-11-28
PIT19@
BUF16proj -4.638%2010-11-28
PHI26@
CHI31proj +0.853%2010-11-28
CAR23@
CLE24proj +8.172%2010-11-28
LAR36@
DEN33proj +3.861%2010-11-28
MIA33@
LV17proj +3.561%2010-11-28
JAX20@
NYG24proj +6.268%2010-11-28
KC42@
SEA24proj +1.054%2010-11-28
MIN17@
WSH13proj +1.455%2010-11-28
TB10@
BAL17proj +8.072%2010-11-28
TEN0@
HOU20proj -2.245%2010-11-29
LAC36@
IND14proj +4.764%2010-11-30
SF27@
ARI6proj +0.352%
Week 13
2010-12-03
HOU24@
PHI34proj +7.671%2010-12-05
NO34@
CIN30proj -7.929%2010-12-05
CHI24@
DET20proj -8.029%2010-12-05
SF16@
GB34proj +10.678%2010-12-05
JAX17@
TEN6proj +2.758%2010-12-05
DAL38@
IND35proj +7.070%2010-12-05
DEN6@
KC10proj +6.970%2010-12-05
CLE13@
MIA10proj +4.764%2010-12-05
BUF14@
MIN38proj +5.967%2010-12-05
WSH7@
NYG31proj +7.872%2010-12-05
LAR19@
ARI6proj +0.151%2010-12-05
LV28@
LAC13proj +9.375%2010-12-05
CAR14@
SEA31proj +4.764%2010-12-05
ATL28@
TB24proj -3.641%2010-12-06
PIT13@
BAL10proj +2.859%2010-12-07
NYJ3@
NE45proj +1.655%
Week 14
2010-12-10
IND30@
TEN28proj -1.547%2010-12-12
CLE6@
BUF13proj -0.848%2010-12-12
NE36@
CHI7proj -0.350%2010-12-12
GB3@
DET7proj -11.222%2010-12-12
LAR13@
NO31proj +13.383%2010-12-12
MIA10@
NYJ6proj +5.566%2010-12-12
DEN13@
ARI43proj +1.655%2010-12-12
CIN7@
PIT23proj +11.881%2010-12-12
KC0@
LAC31proj +4.162%2010-12-12
SEA21@
SF40proj +2.658%2010-12-12
TB17@
WSH16proj -0.948%2010-12-12
ATL31@
CAR10proj -11.721%2010-12-12
LV31@
JAX38proj +3.561%2010-12-13
PHI30@
DAL27proj -2.843%2010-12-14
NYG21@
MIN3proj +0.151%2010-12-14
BAL34@
HOU28proj -2.544%
Week 15
2010-12-17
SF7@
LAC34proj +8.774%2010-12-19
CLE17@
CIN19proj -2.843%2010-12-19
WSH30@
DAL33proj +6.067%2010-12-19
HOU17@
TEN31proj +1.655%2010-12-19
JAX24@
IND34proj +3.560%2010-12-19
DEN23@
LV39proj +8.072%2010-12-19
KC27@
LAR13proj +0.051%2010-12-19
BUF17@
MIA14proj +6.067%2010-12-19
PHI38@
NYG31proj +1.455%2010-12-19
NYJ22@
PIT17proj +5.265%2010-12-19
ATL34@
SEA18proj -7.630%2010-12-19
DET23@
TB20proj +9.375%2010-12-19
ARI12@
CAR19proj +0.552%2010-12-19
NO24@
BAL30proj +1.454%2010-12-20
GB27@
NE31proj +7.170%2010-12-21
CHI40@
MIN14proj -1.746%
Week 16
2010-12-24
CAR3@
PIT27proj +14.485%2010-12-26
DAL26@
ARI27proj -2.843%2010-12-26
NE34@
BUF3proj -9.925%2010-12-26
NYJ34@
CHI38proj +2.758%2010-12-26
LAC20@
CIN34proj -7.530%2010-12-26
BAL20@
CLE10proj -5.535%2010-12-26
HOU23@
DEN24proj -1.945%2010-12-26
NYG17@
GB45proj +5.065%2010-12-26
TEN14@
KC34proj +4.363%2010-12-26
IND31@
LV26proj +0.652%2010-12-26
SF17@
LAR25proj -1.247%2010-12-26
DET34@
MIA27proj +8.373%2010-12-26
SEA15@
TB38proj +8.072%2010-12-26
WSH20@
JAX17proj +8.674%2010-12-28
NO17@
ATL14proj +3.360%2010-12-29
MIN24@
PHI14proj +11.780%
Week 17
2011-01-02
CAR10@
ATL31proj +15.787%2011-01-02
PIT41@
CLE9proj -5.835%2011-01-02
LAC33@
DEN28proj -8.428%2011-01-02
MIN13@
DET20proj -1.546%2011-01-02
CHI3@
GB10proj +3.962%2011-01-02
TEN20@
IND23proj +7.571%2011-01-02
LV31@
KC10proj +4.363%2011-01-02
MIA7@
NE38proj +13.183%2011-01-02
TB23@
NO13proj +8.373%2011-01-02
BUF7@
NYJ38proj +8.473%2011-01-02
DAL14@
PHI13proj +6.568%2011-01-02
ARI7@
SF38proj +4.262%2011-01-02
NYG17@
WSH14proj -4.438%2011-01-02
CIN7@
BAL13proj +11.580%2011-01-02
JAX17@
HOU34proj -0.848%2011-01-03
LAR6@
SEA16proj -0.549%
Postseason
wild-card
NO36@
SEA41proj -6.633%wild-card
NYJ17@
IND16proj +2.357%wild-card
BAL30@
KC7proj -4.139%wild-card
GB21@
PHI16proj +0.251%divisional
BAL24@
PIT31proj +2.658%divisional
GB48@
ATL21proj +5.465%divisional
SEA24@
CHI35proj +12.782%divisional
NYJ28@
NE21proj +10.778%conference
GB21@
CHI14proj -2.943%conference
NYJ19@
PIT24proj +4.563%super-bowl
PIT25@
GB31proj +4.764%