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Gridiron
2011 season

2011 games

267 games over 17 weeks · 267 carry a retrodicted forecast

The model column is a backtest — refit strictly before each week, but read by nobody before kickoff.

Week 1

2011-09-09NO34@GB4270%2011-09-11ATL12@CHI3054%2011-09-11CIN27@CLE1753%2011-09-11BUF41@KC764%2011-09-11PHI31@LAR1344%2011-09-11CAR21@ARI2860%2011-09-11MIN17@LAC2470%2011-09-11SEA17@SF3359%2011-09-11DET27@TB2068%2011-09-11NYG14@WSH2842%2011-09-11TEN14@JAX1657%2011-09-11PIT7@BAL3554%2011-09-11IND7@HOU3446%2011-09-12DAL24@NYJ2766%2011-09-12NE38@MIA2432%2011-09-13LV23@DEN2041%

Week 2

2011-09-18LV35@BUF3855%2011-09-18CIN22@DEN2447%2011-09-18KC3@DET4865%2011-09-18BAL13@TEN2637%2011-09-18CLE27@IND1970%2011-09-18HOU23@MIA1349%2011-09-18TB24@MIN2053%2011-09-18LAC21@NE3571%2011-09-18CHI13@NO3055%2011-09-18JAX3@NYJ3272%2011-09-18SEA0@PIT2477%2011-09-18DAL27@SF2458%2011-09-18ARI21@WSH2265%2011-09-18GB30@CAR2323%2011-09-19PHI31@ATL3557%2011-09-20LAR16@NYG2870%

Week 3

2011-09-25NE31@BUF3431%2011-09-25GB27@CHI1740%2011-09-25SF13@CIN857%2011-09-25MIA16@CLE1760%2011-09-25DEN14@TEN1770%2011-09-25NYJ24@LV3446%2011-09-25BAL37@LAR733%2011-09-25DET26@MIN2346%2011-09-25HOU33@NO4062%2011-09-25NYG29@PHI1660%2011-09-25KC17@LAC2074%2011-09-25ARI10@SEA1352%2011-09-25ATL13@TB1650%2011-09-25JAX10@CAR1647%2011-09-26PIT23@IND2047%2011-09-27WSH16@DAL1860%

Week 4

2011-10-02CAR29@CHI3476%2011-10-02BUF20@CIN2353%2011-10-02TEN31@CLE1352%2011-10-02DET34@DAL3057%2011-10-02DEN23@GB4988%2011-10-02MIN17@KC2251%2011-10-02NE31@LV1946%2011-10-02WSH17@LAR1046%2011-10-02SF24@PHI2362%2011-10-02NYG31@ARI2742%2011-10-02MIA16@LAC2674%2011-10-02ATL30@SEA2842%2011-10-02NO23@JAX1042%2011-10-02PIT10@HOU1750%2011-10-03NYJ17@BAL3463%2011-10-04IND17@TB2465%

Week 5

2011-10-09PHI24@BUF3158%2011-10-09LAC29@DEN2431%2011-10-09KC28@IND2466%2011-10-09ARI10@MIN3460%2011-10-09NYJ21@NE3068%2011-10-09SEA36@NYG2575%2011-10-09TEN17@PIT3864%2011-10-09TB3@SF4856%2011-10-09NO30@CAR2730%2011-10-09CIN30@JAX2052%2011-10-09LV25@HOU2064%2011-10-10GB25@ATL1442%2011-10-11CHI13@DET2459%

Week 6

2011-10-16CAR17@ATL3171%2011-10-16IND17@CIN2766%2011-10-16SF25@DET1963%2011-10-16LAR3@GB2489%2011-10-16CLE17@LV2468%2011-10-16DAL16@NE2075%2011-10-16BUF24@NYG2759%2011-10-16JAX13@PIT1780%2011-10-16NO20@TB2643%2011-10-16PHI20@WSH1361%2011-10-16HOU14@BAL2977%2011-10-17MIN10@CHI3962%2011-10-18MIA6@NYJ2466%

Week 7

2011-10-23SEA3@CLE647%2011-10-23LAR7@DAL3476%2011-10-23ATL23@DET1662%2011-10-23HOU41@TEN761%2011-10-23KC28@LV065%2011-10-23DEN18@MIA1555%2011-10-23GB33@MIN2723%2011-10-23LAC21@NYJ2752%2011-10-23PIT32@ARI2037%2011-10-23CHI24@TB1857%2011-10-23WSH20@CAR3346%2011-10-24IND7@NO6277%2011-10-25BAL7@JAX1227%

Week 8

2011-10-30WSH0@BUF2371%2011-10-30DET45@DEN1043%2011-10-30IND10@TEN2764%2011-10-30NO21@LAR3125%2011-10-30MIA17@NYG2079%2011-10-30NE17@PIT2544%2011-10-30CLE10@SF2081%2011-10-30CIN34@SEA1244%2011-10-30MIN24@CAR2157%2011-10-30ARI27@BAL3086%2011-10-30JAX14@HOU2473%2011-10-31DAL7@PHI3460%2011-11-01LAC20@KC2345%

Week 9

2011-11-06NYJ27@BUF1144%2011-11-06SEA13@DAL2369%2011-11-06CIN24@TEN1753%2011-11-06ATL31@IND731%2011-11-06MIA31@KC371%2011-11-06DEN38@LV2476%2011-11-06NYG24@NE2072%2011-11-06TB16@NO2759%2011-11-06LAR13@ARI1954%2011-11-06GB45@LAC3832%2011-11-06SF19@WSH1138%2011-11-06CLE12@HOU3077%2011-11-07BAL23@PIT2056%2011-11-08CHI30@PHI2452%

Week 10

2011-11-11LV24@LAC1765%2011-11-13NO26@ATL2355%2011-11-13DET13@CHI3750%2011-11-13PIT24@CIN1748%2011-11-13LAR13@CLE1266%2011-11-13BUF7@DAL4458%2011-11-13JAX17@IND341%2011-11-13DEN17@KC1059%2011-11-13WSH9@MIA2063%2011-11-13ARI21@PHI1776%2011-11-13NYG20@SF2765%2011-11-13BAL17@SEA2230%2011-11-13HOU37@TB946%2011-11-13TEN30@CAR356%2011-11-14NE37@NYJ1653%2011-11-15MIN7@GB4582%

Week 11

2011-11-18NYJ13@DEN1742%2011-11-20TEN17@ATL2368%2011-11-20LAC20@CHI3171%2011-11-20JAX10@CLE1454%2011-11-20CAR35@DET4978%2011-11-20TB26@GB3588%2011-11-20SEA24@LAR746%2011-11-20BUF8@MIA3554%2011-11-20LV27@MIN2151%2011-11-20ARI7@SF2379%2011-11-20DAL27@WSH2436%2011-11-20CIN24@BAL3164%2011-11-21PHI17@NYG1062%2011-11-22KC3@NE3483%

Week 12

2011-11-24MIA19@DAL2066%2011-11-24GB27@DET1531%2011-11-25SF6@BAL1660%2011-11-27MIN14@ATL2479%2011-11-27CLE20@CIN2369%2011-11-27TB17@TEN2365%2011-11-27CAR27@IND1961%2011-11-27CHI20@LV2545%2011-11-27ARI23@LAR2048%2011-11-27BUF24@NYJ2869%2011-11-27NE38@PHI2042%2011-11-27DEN16@LAC1359%2011-11-27WSH23@SEA1769%2011-11-27HOU20@JAX1328%2011-11-28PIT13@KC927%2011-11-29NYG24@NO4974%

Week 13

2011-12-02PHI14@SEA3150%2011-12-04TEN23@BUF1750%2011-12-04KC10@CHI380%2011-12-04BAL24@CLE1027%2011-12-04LV14@MIA3458%2011-12-04DEN35@MIN3250%2011-12-04IND24@NE3193%2011-12-04GB38@NYG3527%2011-12-04DAL13@ARI1940%2011-12-04CIN7@PIT3568%2011-12-04LAR0@SF2684%2011-12-04CAR38@TB1961%2011-12-04NYJ34@WSH1940%2011-12-04ATL10@HOU1763%2011-12-05DET17@NO3171%2011-12-06LAC38@JAX1453%

Week 14

2011-12-09CLE3@PIT1483%2011-12-11HOU20@CIN1944%2011-12-11CHI10@DEN1349%2011-12-11MIN28@DET3469%2011-12-11LV16@GB4687%2011-12-11NO22@TEN1745%2011-12-11PHI26@MIA1064%2011-12-11KC10@NYJ3774%2011-12-11SF19@ARI2132%2011-12-11BUF10@LAC3769%2011-12-11NE34@WSH2722%2011-12-11ATL31@CAR2336%2011-12-11TB14@JAX4159%2011-12-11IND10@BAL2490%2011-12-12NYG37@DAL3461%2011-12-13LAR13@SEA3073%

Week 15

2011-12-16JAX14@ATL4178%2011-12-18DAL31@TB1540%2011-12-18MIA30@BUF2341%2011-12-18SEA38@CHI1469%2011-12-18NE41@DEN2336%2011-12-18TEN13@IND2730%2011-12-18GB14@KC1920%2011-12-18DET28@LV2755%2011-12-18CIN20@LAR1334%2011-12-18NO42@MIN2026%2011-12-18WSH23@NYG1071%2011-12-18NYJ19@PHI4549%2011-12-18CLE17@ARI2064%2011-12-18CAR28@HOU1384%2011-12-19BAL14@LAC3445%2011-12-20PIT3@SF2049%

Week 16

2011-12-23HOU16@IND1925%2011-12-24DEN14@BUF4045%2011-12-24ARI16@CIN2366%2011-12-24PHI20@DAL754%2011-12-24LAC10@DET3855%2011-12-24JAX17@TEN2363%2011-12-24LV16@KC1353%2011-12-24MIA24@NE2778%2011-12-24NYG29@NYJ1471%2011-12-24LAR0@PIT2789%2011-12-24SF19@SEA1744%2011-12-24MIN33@WSH2666%2011-12-24TB16@CAR4870%2011-12-24CLE14@BAL2080%2011-12-26CHI21@GB3581%2011-12-27ATL16@NO4563%

Week 17

2012-01-01TB24@ATL4584%2012-01-01BAL24@CIN1644%2012-01-01PIT13@CLE924%2012-01-01KC7@DEN357%2012-01-01DET41@GB4578%2012-01-01LAC38@LV2650%2012-01-01SF34@LAR2718%2012-01-01NYJ17@MIA1956%2012-01-01CHI17@MIN1343%2012-01-01BUF21@NE4988%2012-01-01CAR17@NO4579%2012-01-01WSH10@PHI3475%2012-01-01SEA20@ARI2346%2012-01-01IND13@JAX1957%2012-01-01TEN23@HOU2266%2012-01-02DAL14@NYG3155%

Postseason

wild-cardCIN10@HOU3165%wild-cardDET28@NO4578%wild-cardPIT23@DEN2932%wild-cardATL2@NYG2451%divisionalNO32@SF3655%divisionalDEN10@NE4590%divisionalNYG37@GB2083%divisionalHOU13@BAL2069%conferenceBAL20@NE2372%conferenceNYG20@SF1764%super-bowlNYG21@NE1772%