2014 games
267 games over 17 weeks · 267 carry a retrodicted forecast
The model column is a backtest — refit strictly before each week, but read by nobody before kickoff.
Week 1
2014-09-05
GB16@
SEA36proj +11.680%2014-09-07
NO34@
ATL37proj -2.942%2014-09-07
MIN34@
LAR6proj +4.964%2014-09-07
CLE27@
PIT30proj +9.074%2014-09-07
JAX17@
PHI34proj +10.077%2014-09-07
LV14@
NYJ19proj +6.669%2014-09-07
CIN23@
BAL16proj -0.549%2014-09-07
BUF23@
CHI20proj +3.460%2014-09-07
WSH6@
HOU17proj +2.056%2014-09-07
TEN26@
KC10proj +5.065%2014-09-07
NE20@
MIA33proj -3.940%2014-09-07
CAR20@
TB14proj -3.940%2014-09-07
SF28@
DAL17proj -3.541%2014-09-08
IND24@
DEN31proj +6.669%2014-09-08
NYG14@
DET35proj +2.056%2014-09-09
LAC17@
ARI18proj +3.159%
Week 2
2014-09-12
PIT6@
BAL26proj -0.849%2014-09-14
MIA10@
BUF29proj +0.151%2014-09-14
JAX10@
WSH41proj +2.458%2014-09-14
DAL26@
TEN10proj +4.363%2014-09-14
ARI25@
NYG14proj -2.045%2014-09-14
NE30@
MIN7proj -0.150%2014-09-14
NO24@
CLE26proj -4.239%2014-09-14
ATL10@
CIN24proj +8.273%2014-09-14
DET7@
CAR24proj +5.867%2014-09-14
LAR19@
TB17proj +0.552%2014-09-14
SEA21@
LAC30proj -3.142%2014-09-14
HOU30@
LV14proj +0.753%2014-09-14
NYJ24@
GB31proj +2.859%2014-09-14
KC17@
DEN24proj +8.774%2014-09-15
CHI28@
SF20proj +11.179%2014-09-16
PHI30@
IND27proj +1.956%
Week 3
2014-09-19
TB14@
ATL56proj +4.062%2014-09-21
LAC22@
BUF10proj -0.350%2014-09-21
DAL34@
LAR31proj +1.053%2014-09-21
WSH34@
PHI37proj +9.175%2014-09-21
HOU17@
NYG30proj +2.558%2014-09-21
MIN9@
NO20proj +5.165%2014-09-21
TEN7@
CIN33proj +8.673%2014-09-21
BAL23@
CLE21proj -3.541%2014-09-21
GB7@
DET19proj +2.157%2014-09-21
IND44@
JAX17proj -5.635%2014-09-21
LV9@
NE16proj +15.387%2014-09-21
SF14@
ARI23proj +1.053%2014-09-21
DEN20@
SEA26proj +4.663%2014-09-21
KC34@
MIA15proj +3.661%2014-09-22
PIT37@
CAR19proj +6.167%2014-09-23
CHI27@
NYJ19proj +1.454%
Week 4
2014-09-26
NYG45@
WSH14proj -0.549%2014-09-28
GB38@
CHI17proj +4.262%2014-09-28
BUF17@
HOU23proj -0.450%2014-09-28
TEN17@
IND41proj +6.468%2014-09-28
ATL28@
MIN41proj +1.655%2014-09-28
CAR10@
BAL38proj +1.755%2014-09-28
DET24@
NYJ17proj -0.350%2014-09-28
TB27@
PIT24proj +10.678%2014-09-28
MIA38vs
LV14proj -2.843%2014-09-28
JAX14@
LAC33proj +15.687%2014-09-28
PHI21@
SF26proj +3.661%2014-09-29
NO17@
DAL38proj +1.956%2014-09-30
NE14@
KC41proj -1.945%
Week 5
2014-10-03
MIN10@
GB42proj +3.260%2014-10-05
CHI24@
CAR31proj +4.563%2014-10-05
CLE29@
TEN28proj +1.455%2014-10-05
LAR28@
PHI34proj +5.265%2014-10-05
ATL20@
NYG30proj +4.162%2014-10-05
TB31@
NO37proj +7.370%2014-10-05
HOU17@
DAL20proj +8.072%2014-10-05
BUF17@
DET14proj +5.265%2014-10-05
BAL13@
IND20proj +3.159%2014-10-05
PIT17@
JAX9proj -7.630%2014-10-05
ARI20@
DEN41proj +2.859%2014-10-05
KC17@
SF22proj +5.566%2014-10-05
NYJ0@
LAC31proj +10.678%2014-10-06
CIN17@
NE43proj -0.948%2014-10-07
SEA27@
WSH17proj -12.220%
Week 6
2014-10-10
IND33@
HOU28proj -4.040%2014-10-12
CHI27@
ATL13proj +2.859%2014-10-12
JAX14@
TEN16proj +7.871%2014-10-12
BAL48@
TB17proj -4.239%2014-10-12
DEN31@
NYJ17proj -6.732%2014-10-12
DET17@
MIN3proj -0.051%2014-10-12
NE37@
BUF22proj -2.843%2014-10-12
CAR37@
CIN37proj +5.065%2014-10-12
PIT10@
CLE31proj -3.940%2014-10-12
GB27@
MIA24proj +0.953%2014-10-12
LAC31@
LV28proj -10.723%2014-10-12
DAL30@
SEA23proj +8.373%2014-10-12
WSH20@
ARI30proj +11.880%2014-10-13
NYG0@
PHI27proj +4.764%2014-10-14
SF31@
LAR17proj -5.137%
Week 7
2014-10-17
NYJ25@
NE27proj +11.880%2014-10-19
ATL7@
BAL29proj +9.475%2014-10-19
TEN17@
WSH19proj -0.250%2014-10-19
SEA26@
LAR28proj -7.331%2014-10-19
CLE6@
JAX24proj -4.837%2014-10-19
CIN0@
IND27proj +3.460%2014-10-19
MIN16@
BUF17proj +4.363%2014-10-19
MIA27@
CHI14proj +4.363%2014-10-19
NO23@
DET24proj +1.154%2014-10-19
CAR17@
GB38proj +4.463%2014-10-19
KC23@
LAC20proj +5.165%2014-10-19
ARI24@
LV13proj -9.126%2014-10-19
NYG21@
DAL31proj +6.568%2014-10-20
SF17@
DEN42proj +3.961%2014-10-21
HOU23@
PIT30proj +6.167%
Week 8
2014-10-24
LAC21@
DEN35proj +5.064%2014-10-26
DET22vs
ATL21proj -13.517%2014-10-26
LAR7@
KC34proj +7.571%2014-10-26
HOU30@
TEN16proj +1.956%2014-10-26
MIN19@
TB13proj +1.154%2014-10-26
SEA13@
CAR9proj -2.444%2014-10-26
BAL24@
CIN27proj -0.250%2014-10-26
MIA27@
JAX13proj -4.638%2014-10-26
CHI23@
NE51proj +9.876%2014-10-26
BUF43@
NYJ23proj -0.948%2014-10-26
PHI20@
ARI24proj +1.154%2014-10-26
LV13@
CLE23proj +7.671%2014-10-26
IND34@
PIT51proj -1.048%2014-10-27
GB23@
NO44proj +0.352%2014-10-28
WSH20@
DAL17proj +12.582%
Week 9
2014-10-31
NO28@
CAR10proj -0.250%2014-11-02
TB17@
CLE22proj +6.669%2014-11-02
ARI28@
DAL17proj +2.758%2014-11-02
PHI31@
HOU21proj -1.846%2014-11-02
NYJ10@
KC24proj +12.381%2014-11-02
JAX23@
CIN33proj +13.183%2014-11-02
LAC0@
MIA37proj -0.649%2014-11-02
WSH26@
MIN29proj +5.165%2014-11-02
LAR13@
SF10proj +11.179%2014-11-02
DEN21@
NE43proj +1.755%2014-11-02
LV24@
SEA30proj +18.291%2014-11-03
BAL23@
PIT43proj +0.452%2014-11-04
IND40@
NYG24proj +0.552%
Week 10
2014-11-07
CLE24@
CIN3proj +7.370%2014-11-09
KC17@
BUF13proj +0.953%2014-11-09
MIA16@
DET20proj +4.062%2014-11-09
DAL31vs
JAX17proj -14.615%2014-11-09
SF27@
NO24proj +4.162%2014-11-09
TEN7@
BAL21proj +8.974%2014-11-09
PIT13@
NYJ20proj -6.832%2014-11-09
ATL27@
TB17proj -2.843%2014-11-09
DEN41@
LV17proj -13.717%2014-11-09
LAR14@
ARI31proj +10.077%2014-11-09
NYG17@
SEA38proj +11.179%2014-11-10
CHI14@
GB55proj +6.368%2014-11-11
CAR21@
PHI45proj +8.874%
Week 11
2014-11-14
BUF9@
MIA22proj +4.964%2014-11-16
MIN13@
CHI21proj -1.347%2014-11-16
HOU23@
CLE7proj +4.162%2014-11-16
PHI20@
GB53proj +3.460%2014-11-16
SEA20@
KC24proj +1.755%2014-11-16
ATL19@
CAR17proj +2.357%2014-11-16
CIN27@
NO10proj +6.067%2014-11-16
TB27@
WSH7proj +7.872%2014-11-16
DEN7@
LAR22proj -6.832%2014-11-16
SF16@
NYG10proj -2.843%2014-11-16
LV6@
LAC13proj +15.186%2014-11-16
DET6@
ARI14proj +6.769%2014-11-17
NE42@
IND20proj +0.652%2014-11-18
PIT27@
TEN24proj -5.037%
Week 12
2014-11-21
KC20@
LV24proj -12.619%2014-11-23
CLE26@
ATL24proj +2.658%2014-11-23
TEN24@
PHI43proj +12.381%2014-11-23
DET9@
NE34proj +10.377%2014-11-23
GB24@
MIN21proj -5.735%2014-11-23
JAX3@
IND23proj +12.481%2014-11-23
CIN22@
HOU13proj -0.250%2014-11-23
TB13@
CHI21proj +6.368%2014-11-23
ARI3@
SEA19proj +1.755%2014-11-23
LAR24@
LAC27proj +6.368%2014-11-23
MIA36@
DEN39proj +6.067%2014-11-23
WSH13@
SF17proj +13.984%2014-11-24
DAL31@
NYG28proj -5.436%2014-11-25
BAL34@
NO27proj -0.150%2014-11-25
NYJ3vs
BUF38proj -2.943%
Week 13
2014-11-27
CHI17@
DET34proj +5.465%2014-11-27
PHI33@
DAL10proj +2.758%2014-11-28
SEA19@
SF3proj +0.251%2014-11-30
WSH27@
IND49proj +13.984%2014-11-30
TEN21@
HOU45proj +6.468%2014-11-30
CLE10@
BUF26proj +4.262%2014-11-30
LAC34@
BAL33proj +5.064%2014-11-30
NYG24@
JAX25proj -2.444%2014-11-30
CIN14@
TB13proj -5.236%2014-11-30
LV0@
LAR52proj +9.676%2014-11-30
NO35@
PIT32proj +6.769%2014-11-30
CAR13@
MIN31proj +1.154%2014-11-30
ARI18@
ATL29proj -5.536%2014-11-30
NE21@
GB26proj +1.254%2014-12-01
DEN29@
KC16proj +1.053%2014-12-02
MIA16@
NYJ13proj -7.530%
Week 14
2014-12-05
DAL41@
CHI28proj -1.147%2014-12-07
PIT42@
CIN21proj +3.861%2014-12-07
LAR24@
WSH0proj -4.039%2014-12-07
NYG36@
TEN7proj +0.351%2014-12-07
CAR41@
NO10proj +7.972%2014-12-07
NYJ24@
MIN30proj +7.971%2014-12-07
BAL28@
MIA13proj +3.360%2014-12-07
IND25@
CLE24proj -2.843%2014-12-07
TB17@
DET34proj +11.079%2014-12-07
HOU27@
JAX13proj -4.638%2014-12-07
BUF17@
DEN24proj +9.475%2014-12-07
KC14@
ARI17proj +4.964%2014-12-07
SEA24@
PHI14proj +1.354%2014-12-07
SF13@
LV24proj -9.625%2014-12-08
NE23@
LAC14proj -2.843%2014-12-09
ATL37@
GB43proj +12.281%
Week 15
2014-12-12
ARI12@
LAR6proj -0.549%2014-12-14
PIT27@
ATL20proj -1.746%2014-12-14
WSH13@
NYG24proj +7.270%2014-12-14
MIA13@
NE41proj +10.678%2014-12-14
LV13@
KC31proj +11.479%2014-12-14
HOU10@
IND17proj +7.270%2014-12-14
JAX12@
BAL20proj +16.889%2014-12-14
GB13@
BUF21proj -2.344%2014-12-14
TB17@
CAR19proj +7.070%2014-12-14
CIN30@
CLE0proj -1.846%2014-12-14
MIN14@
DET16proj +5.766%2014-12-14
NYJ16@
TEN11proj +1.354%2014-12-14
DEN22@
LAC10proj -3.242%2014-12-14
SF7@
SEA17proj +9.776%2014-12-15
DAL38@
PHI27proj +4.663%2014-12-16
NO31@
CHI15proj +0.552%
Week 16
2014-12-19
TEN13@
JAX21proj +2.157%2014-12-20
PHI24@
WSH27proj -8.827%2014-12-21
LAC38@
SF35proj +3.059%2014-12-21
MIN35@
MIA37proj +4.964%2014-12-21
BAL13@
HOU25proj -1.845%2014-12-21
DET20@
CHI14proj -5.735%2014-12-21
CLE13@
CAR17proj +5.465%2014-12-21
ATL30@
NO14proj +5.165%2014-12-21
GB20@
TB3proj -8.428%2014-12-21
KC12@
PIT20proj +5.465%2014-12-21
NE17@
NYJ16proj -13.617%2014-12-21
NYG37@
LAR27proj +5.766%2014-12-21
BUF24@
LV26proj -6.832%2014-12-21
IND7@
DAL42proj +2.858%2014-12-22
SEA35@
ARI6proj -2.544%2014-12-23
DEN28@
CIN37proj -1.347%
Week 17
2014-12-28
CAR34@
ATL3proj +2.658%2014-12-28
CLE10@
BAL20proj +9.475%2014-12-28
DAL44@
WSH17proj -10.424%2014-12-28
IND27@
TEN10proj -10.324%2014-12-28
DET20@
GB30proj +5.265%2014-12-28
JAX17@
HOU23proj +11.479%2014-12-28
LAC7@
KC19proj +2.558%2014-12-28
NYJ37@
MIA24proj +8.974%2014-12-28
CHI9@
MIN13proj +6.568%2014-12-28
BUF17@
NE9proj +11.880%2014-12-28
PHI34@
NYG26proj +0.652%2014-12-28
NO23@
TB20proj -3.242%2014-12-28
LV14@
DEN47proj +15.587%2014-12-28
ARI17@
SF20proj -1.148%2014-12-28
LAR6@
SEA20proj +13.483%2014-12-29
CIN17@
PIT27proj +3.560%
Postseason
wild-card
ARI16@
CAR27proj +1.254%wild-card
BAL30@
PIT17proj +4.363%wild-card
CIN10@
IND26proj +3.360%wild-card
DET20@
DAL24proj +6.869%divisional
BAL31@
NE35proj +7.671%divisional
CAR17@
SEA31proj +12.882%divisional
IND24@
DEN13proj +7.471%divisional
DAL21@
GB26proj +5.165%conference
GB22@
SEA28proj +7.771%conference
IND7@
NE45proj +5.666%super-bowl
NE28vs
SEA24proj +6.368%