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Gridiron
2016 season

2016 games

267 games over 17 weeks · 267 carry a retrodicted forecast

The model column is a backtest — refit strictly before each week, but read by nobody before kickoff.

Week 1

2016-09-09CAR20@DEN2158%2016-09-11GB27@JAX2340%2016-09-11BUF7@BAL1352%2016-09-11CHI14@HOU2365%2016-09-11CLE10@PHI2968%2016-09-11TB31@ATL2461%2016-09-11MIN25@TEN1633%2016-09-11CIN23@NYJ2253%2016-09-11LV35@NO3459%2016-09-11LAC27@KC3376%2016-09-11DET39@IND3553%2016-09-11NYG20@DAL1952%2016-09-11MIA10@SEA1280%2016-09-12PIT38@WSH1648%2016-09-12NE23@ARI2160%2016-09-13LAR0@SF2850%

Week 2

2016-09-16NYJ37@BUF3152%2016-09-18CIN16@PIT2460%2016-09-18TEN16@DET1579%2016-09-18BAL25@CLE2040%2016-09-18SEA3@LAR931%2016-09-18TB7@ARI4074%2016-09-18JAX14@LAC3862%2016-09-18DAL27@WSH2360%2016-09-18ATL35@LV2860%2016-09-18IND20@DEN3477%2016-09-18NO13@NYG1661%2016-09-18SF27@CAR4677%2016-09-18MIA24@NE3174%2016-09-18KC12@HOU1946%2016-09-19GB14@MIN1756%2016-09-20PHI29@CHI1452%

Week 3

2016-09-23HOU0@NE2767%2016-09-25ARI18@BUF3345%2016-09-25LV17@TEN1048%2016-09-25CLE24@MIA3065%2016-09-25BAL19@JAX1743%2016-09-25DET27@GB3461%2016-09-25DEN29@CIN1750%2016-09-25MIN22@CAR1065%2016-09-25LAR37@TB3252%2016-09-25SF18@SEA3772%2016-09-25NYJ3@KC2465%2016-09-25LAC22@IND2656%2016-09-25PIT3@PHI3446%2016-09-25WSH29@NYG2759%2016-09-26CHI17@DAL3163%2016-09-27ATL45@NO3253%

Week 4

2016-09-30MIA7@CIN2268%2016-10-02IND27vsJAX3055%2016-10-02TEN20@HOU2776%2016-10-02CLE20@WSH3172%2016-10-02SEA27@NYJ1747%2016-10-02BUF16@NE070%2016-10-02CAR33@ATL4844%2016-10-02LV28@BAL2763%2016-10-02DET14@CHI1742%2016-10-02DEN27@TB728%2016-10-02LAR17@ARI1365%2016-10-02NO35@LAC3462%2016-10-02DAL24@SF1754%2016-10-03KC14@PIT4354%2016-10-04NYG10@MIN2477%

Week 5

2016-10-07ARI33@SF2141%2016-10-09NE33@CLE1330%2016-10-09PHI23@DET2443%2016-10-09CHI23@IND2964%2016-10-09TEN30@MIA1769%2016-10-09WSH16@BAL1060%2016-10-09HOU13@MIN3171%2016-10-09NYJ13@PIT3172%2016-10-09ATL23@DEN1675%2016-10-09CIN14@DAL2851%2016-10-09BUF30@LAR1954%2016-10-09LAC31@LV3459%2016-10-10NYG16@GB2375%2016-10-11TB17@CAR1477%

Week 6

2016-10-14DEN13@LAC2131%2016-10-16SF16@BUF4578%2016-10-16PHI20@WSH2749%2016-10-16CLE26@TEN2863%2016-10-16BAL23@NYG2754%2016-10-16CAR38@NO4147%2016-10-16JAX17@CHI1654%2016-10-16LAR28@DET3159%2016-10-16PIT15@MIA3030%2016-10-16KC26@LV1038%2016-10-16ATL24@SEA2668%2016-10-16DAL30@GB1665%2016-10-16CIN17@NE3568%2016-10-17IND23@HOU2661%2016-10-18NYJ3@ARI2867%

Week 7

2016-10-21CHI10@GB2674%2016-10-23NYG17vsLAR1071%2016-10-23NO21@KC2776%2016-10-23IND34@TEN2646%2016-10-23MIN10@PHI2140%2016-10-23CLE17@CIN3175%2016-10-23WSH17@DET2058%2016-10-23LV33@JAX1649%2016-10-23BUF25@MIA2836%2016-10-23BAL16@NYJ2456%2016-10-23TB34@SF1750%2016-10-23LAC33@ATL3072%2016-10-23NE27@PIT1654%2016-10-24SEA6@ARI649%2016-10-25HOU9@DEN2770%

Week 8

2016-10-28JAX22@TEN3657%2016-10-30WSH27vsCIN2767%2016-10-30KC30@IND1443%2016-10-30LV30@TB2454%2016-10-30SEA20@NO2537%2016-10-30DET13@HOU2056%2016-10-30NYJ31@CLE2839%2016-10-30GB32@ATL3358%2016-10-30NE41@BUF2548%2016-10-30LAC19@DEN2773%2016-10-30ARI20@CAR3056%2016-10-31PHI23@DAL2958%2016-11-01MIN10@CHI2026%

Week 9

2016-11-04ATL43@TB2841%2016-11-06TEN35@LAC4369%2016-11-06IND31@GB2671%2016-11-06CAR13@LAR1052%2016-11-06NO41@SF2350%2016-11-06PIT14@BAL2140%2016-11-06DAL35@CLE1027%2016-11-06JAX14@KC1987%2016-11-06NYJ23@MIA2757%2016-11-06PHI23@NYG2850%2016-11-06DET22@MIN1666%2016-11-07DEN20@LV3041%2016-11-08BUF25@SEA3165%

Week 10

2016-11-11CLE7@BAL2876%2016-11-13DAL35@PIT3051%2016-11-13SF20@ARI2383%2016-11-13MIA31@LAC2462%2016-11-13GB25@TEN4742%2016-11-13MIN20@WSH2657%2016-11-13CHI10@TB3653%2016-11-13KC20@CAR1751%2016-11-13ATL15@PHI2457%2016-11-13LAR9@NYJ660%2016-11-13DEN25@NO2346%2016-11-13HOU24@JAX2129%2016-11-14SEA31@NE2470%2016-11-15CIN20@NYG2152%

Week 11

2016-11-18NO20@CAR2364%2016-11-20PIT24@CLE929%2016-11-20BAL17@DAL2774%2016-11-20JAX19@DET2681%2016-11-20TEN17@IND2466%2016-11-20BUF16@CIN1249%2016-11-20TB19@KC1780%2016-11-20CHI16@NYG2273%2016-11-20ARI24@MIN3054%2016-11-20MIA14@LAR1056%2016-11-20NE30@SF1722%2016-11-20PHI15@SEA2668%2016-11-21GB24@WSH4265%2016-11-22HOU20vsLV2770%

Week 12

2016-11-24MIN13@DET1653%2016-11-24WSH26@DAL3166%2016-11-25PIT28@IND756%2016-11-27TEN27@CHI2154%2016-11-27JAX21@BUF2883%2016-11-27CIN14@BAL1954%2016-11-27ARI19@ATL3864%2016-11-27NYG27@CLE1329%2016-11-27LAR21@NO4963%2016-11-27SF24@MIA3180%2016-11-27LAC21@HOU1358%2016-11-27SEA5@TB1436%2016-11-27CAR32@LV3560%2016-11-27NE22@NYJ1733%2016-11-28KC30@DEN2758%2016-11-29GB27@PHI1368%

Week 13

2016-12-02DAL17@MIN1547%2016-12-04KC29@ATL2854%2016-12-04DET28@NO1356%2016-12-04LAR10@NE2684%2016-12-04DEN20@JAX1027%2016-12-04HOU13@GB2162%2016-12-04PHI14@CIN3257%2016-12-04MIA6@BAL3856%2016-12-04SF6@CHI2664%2016-12-04BUF24@LV3860%2016-12-04NYG14@PIT2464%2016-12-04WSH23@ARI3156%2016-12-04TB28@LAC2159%2016-12-05CAR7@SEA4069%2016-12-06IND41@NYJ1056%

Week 14

2016-12-09LV13@KC2164%2016-12-11PIT27@BUF2055%2016-12-11DEN10@TEN1344%2016-12-11NO11@TB1663%2016-12-11WSH27@PHI2250%2016-12-11ARI23@MIA2653%2016-12-11LAC16@CAR2865%2016-12-11CIN23@CLE1030%2016-12-11CHI17@DET2076%2016-12-11HOU22@IND1761%2016-12-11MIN25@JAX1633%2016-12-11NYJ23@SF1745%2016-12-11ATL42@LAR1440%2016-12-11SEA10@GB3844%2016-12-12DAL7@NYG1041%2016-12-13BAL23@NE3076%

Week 15

2016-12-16LAR3@SEA2479%2016-12-18MIA34@NYJ1346%2016-12-18GB30@CHI2734%2016-12-18JAX20@HOU2176%2016-12-18CLE13@BUF3385%2016-12-18PHI26@BAL2767%2016-12-18TEN19@KC1781%2016-12-18DET6@NYG1755%2016-12-18IND34@MIN664%2016-12-18NO48@ARI4166%2016-12-18SF13@ATL4189%2016-12-18NE16@DEN348%2016-12-18LV19@LAC1642%2016-12-18PIT24@CIN2048%2016-12-19TB20@DAL2670%2016-12-20CAR26@WSH1560%

Week 16

2016-12-23NYG19@PHI2442%2016-12-24MIA34@BUF3155%2016-12-24TB24@NO3154%2016-12-24NYJ3@NE4186%2016-12-24TEN17@JAX3836%2016-12-24MIN25@GB3866%2016-12-24LAC17@CLE2034%2016-12-24WSH41@CHI2143%2016-12-24ATL33@CAR1651%2016-12-24IND25@LV3367%2016-12-24ARI34@SEA3171%2016-12-24SF22@LAR2166%2016-12-25CIN10@HOU1255%2016-12-25BAL27@PIT3166%2016-12-26DEN10@KC3365%2016-12-27DET21@DAL4269%

Week 17

2017-01-01NO32@ATL3872%2017-01-01BAL10@CIN2754%2017-01-01NYG19@WSH1056%2017-01-01HOU17@TEN2448%2017-01-01CAR16@TB1754%2017-01-01JAX20@IND2475%2017-01-01NE35@MIA1437%2017-01-01CHI10@MIN3869%2017-01-01BUF10@NYJ3041%2017-01-01DAL13@PHI2735%2017-01-01CLE24@PIT2790%2017-01-01ARI44@LAR638%2017-01-01LV6@DEN2448%2017-01-01KC37@LAC2729%2017-01-01SEA25@SF2321%2017-01-02GB31@DET2449%

Postseason

wild-cardLV14@HOU2748%wild-cardMIA12@PIT3072%wild-cardDET6@SEA2669%wild-cardNYG13@GB3864%divisionalSEA20@ATL3667%divisionalHOU16@NE3484%divisionalGB34@DAL3160%divisionalPIT18@KC1665%conferencePIT17@NE3670%conferenceGB21@ATL4462%super-bowlNE34vsATL2857%