2015 games

267 games over 17 weeks · 267 carry a retrodicted forecast

The model column is a backtest — refit strictly before each week, but read by nobody before kickoff.

Week 1

NE28proj +7.470%2015-09-13

CHI23proj -6.234%2015-09-13

HOU20proj +2.157%2015-09-13

NYJ31proj +3.260%2015-09-13

BUF27proj +2.056%2015-09-13

WSH10proj -2.145%2015-09-13

JAX9proj -4.937%2015-09-13

LAR34proj -5.835%2015-09-13

ARI31proj +4.363%2015-09-13

LAC33proj +1.454%2015-09-13

TB14proj +4.864%2015-09-13

LV13proj -4.538%2015-09-13

DEN19proj +3.861%2015-09-14

DAL27proj +7.069%2015-09-14

ATL26proj +0.051%2015-09-15

SF20proj +3.961%

Week 2

KC24proj -0.250%2015-09-20

CAR24proj +5.466%2015-09-20

PIT43proj +3.460%2015-09-20

NO19proj +6.368%2015-09-20

MIN26proj -0.450%2015-09-20

CHI23proj -2.843%2015-09-20

BUF32proj -2.145%2015-09-20

CIN24proj +4.262%2015-09-20

CLE28proj +2.658%2015-09-20

NYG20proj +3.861%2015-09-20

WSH24proj -4.738%2015-09-20

JAX23proj -3.441%2015-09-20

LV37proj -5.934%2015-09-20

PHI10proj -0.849%2015-09-21

GB27proj +1.354%2015-09-22

IND7proj +5.465%

Week 3

NYG32proj +5.666%2015-09-27

DAL28proj +9.375%2015-09-27

TEN33proj -4.439%2015-09-27

CLE20proj +4.062%2015-09-27

BAL24proj +0.652%2015-09-27

NE51proj +16.488%2015-09-27

CAR27proj +8.473%2015-09-27

NYJ17proj +2.758%2015-09-27

HOU19proj +7.671%2015-09-27

MIN31proj +2.157%2015-09-27

LAR6proj -1.148%2015-09-27

ARI47proj +4.262%2015-09-27

MIA14proj -1.846%2015-09-27

SEA26proj +13.684%2015-09-28

DET12proj -2.344%2015-09-29

GB38proj +7.070%

Week 4

PIT20proj +5.666%2015-10-04

MIA14proj -1.247%2015-10-04

IND16proj +7.571%2015-10-04

BUF10proj +7.170%2015-10-04

TB23proj -7.830%2015-10-04

WSH23proj -4.837%2015-10-04

CHI22proj +0.853%2015-10-04

ATL48proj +4.363%2015-10-04

CIN36proj +5.766%2015-10-04

LAC30proj +6.669%2015-10-04

SF3proj -4.638%2015-10-04

ARI22proj +7.771%2015-10-04

DEN23proj +8.373%2015-10-05

NO26proj -3.940%2015-10-06

SEA13proj +10.177%

Week 5

HOU20proj -0.549%2015-10-11

KC17proj +8.473%2015-10-11

CIN27proj +2.157%2015-10-11

ATL25proj +9.876%2015-10-11

TB38proj +1.956%2015-10-11

PHI39proj +5.465%2015-10-11

BAL30proj +8.172%2015-10-11

GB24proj +11.580%2015-10-11

TEN13proj -3.740%2015-10-11

DET17proj -2.344%2015-10-11

DAL6proj -4.139%2015-10-11

LV10proj -8.229%2015-10-12

NYG30proj +6.468%2015-10-13

LAC20proj -0.848%

Week 6

NO31proj -3.740%2015-10-18

NYJ34proj +9.575%2015-10-18

PIT25proj +2.056%2015-10-18

MIN16proj +4.763%2015-10-18

BUF21proj +0.351%2015-10-18

DET37proj +3.560%2015-10-18

CLE23proj -7.630%2015-10-18

JAX20proj -2.743%2015-10-18

TEN10proj -1.347%2015-10-18

SEA23proj +2.457%2015-10-18

GB27proj +11.580%2015-10-18

SF25proj +0.151%2015-10-19

IND27proj -4.738%2015-10-20

PHI27proj +2.157%

Week 7

SF3proj -3.641%2015-10-25

JAX34proj -7.530%2015-10-25

WSH31proj +1.555%2015-10-25

TEN7proj -5.835%2015-10-25

IND21proj +5.265%2015-10-25

DET19proj -1.746%2015-10-25

KC23proj -2.643%2015-10-25

LAR24proj +5.466%2015-10-25

MIA44proj +2.457%2015-10-25

NE30proj +11.179%2015-10-25

LAC29proj +3.159%2015-10-25

NYG27proj -0.948%2015-10-26

CAR27proj +5.566%2015-10-27

ARI26proj +7.872%

Week 8

NE36proj +13.684%2015-11-01

KC45proj +5.866%2015-11-01

ATL20proj +9.776%2015-11-01

CLE20proj -6.234%2015-11-01

LAR27proj +2.558%2015-11-01

NO52proj +1.856%2015-11-01

CHI20proj -3.940%2015-11-01

BAL29proj +4.463%2015-11-01

PIT10proj -2.643%2015-11-01

HOU20proj +6.368%2015-11-01

LV34proj -0.948%2015-11-01

DAL12proj -2.544%2015-11-02

DEN29proj +1.856%2015-11-03

CAR29proj +8.974%

Week 9

CIN31proj +14.185%2015-11-08

CAR37proj +2.357%2015-11-08

NE27proj +17.189%2015-11-08

NO28proj +10.878%2015-11-08

BUF33proj +4.563%2015-11-08

MIN21proj +5.165%2015-11-08

NYJ28proj +7.871%2015-11-08

PIT38proj +7.471%2015-11-08

TB18proj -1.945%2015-11-08

SF17proj -1.846%2015-11-08

IND27proj -5.236%2015-11-09

DAL27proj -2.544%2015-11-10

LAC19proj +5.666%

Week 10

NYJ17proj +1.655%2015-11-15

GB16proj +10.177%2015-11-15

TB10proj -1.546%2015-11-15

TEN10proj -9.426%2015-11-15

LAR13proj +7.370%2015-11-15

WSH47proj -0.450%2015-11-15

PHI19proj +8.072%2015-11-15

PIT30proj +10.578%2015-11-15

BAL20proj +10.979%2015-11-15

LV14proj -1.048%2015-11-15

NYG26proj -6.034%2015-11-15

DEN13proj +5.566%2015-11-16

SEA32proj +1.354%2015-11-17

CIN6proj +10.979%

Week 11

JAX19proj +2.959%2015-11-22

DET18proj +1.655%2015-11-22

ATL21proj +2.558%2015-11-22

HOU24proj +3.059%2015-11-22

PHI17proj +10.076%2015-11-22

CHI15proj -4.239%2015-11-22

MIN13proj +1.555%2015-11-22

BAL16proj +4.062%2015-11-22

MIA14proj +3.059%2015-11-22

CAR44proj +13.183%2015-11-22

SEA29proj +7.270%2015-11-22

LAC3proj -3.541%2015-11-23

ARI34proj +4.262%2015-11-24

NE20proj +12.181%

Week 12

DET45proj +0.151%2015-11-26

DAL14proj -5.137%2015-11-27

GB13proj +10.177%2015-11-29

TEN21proj -1.746%2015-11-29

KC30proj +6.869%2015-11-29

IND25proj +6.869%2015-11-29

WSH20proj -5.037%2015-11-29

HOU24proj +4.062%2015-11-29

ATL10proj +0.953%2015-11-29

CIN31proj +10.979%2015-11-29

JAX25proj +2.157%2015-11-29

NYJ38proj +3.260%2015-11-29

SF13proj -8.428%2015-11-29

SEA39proj +2.658%2015-11-30

DEN30proj -2.544%2015-12-01

CLE27proj -2.643%

Week 13

DET23proj -3.840%2015-12-06

NYG20proj +4.162%2015-12-06

LAR3proj -7.630%2015-12-06

TB23proj +0.351%2015-12-06

NO38proj -9.725%2015-12-06

MIN7proj +0.953%2015-12-06

BUF30proj +2.758%2015-12-06

MIA15proj -0.549%2015-12-06

CLE3proj -10.922%2015-12-06

TEN42proj -0.350%2015-12-06

CHI20proj +5.867%2015-12-06

LAC3proj -7.630%2015-12-06

LV20proj -5.934%2015-12-06

NE28proj +15.186%2015-12-07

PIT45proj +3.861%2015-12-08

WSH16proj +0.953%

Week 14

ARI23proj +9.175%2015-12-13

PHI23proj +1.856%2015-12-13

CLE24proj -2.543%2015-12-13

LAR21proj +0.552%2015-12-13

TB17proj +4.763%2015-12-13

NYJ30proj +10.578%2015-12-13

CIN20proj +5.165%2015-12-13

JAX51proj -4.738%2015-12-13

KC10proj +12.882%2015-12-13

CHI21proj +4.764%2015-12-13

CAR38proj +12.582%2015-12-13

DEN12proj +12.281%2015-12-13

GB28proj +8.974%2015-12-13

BAL6proj -4.339%2015-12-14

HOU6proj -4.338%2015-12-15

MIA24proj +0.953%

Week 15

LAR31proj +3.159%2015-12-20

DAL16proj +1.053%2015-12-20

MIN38proj +5.867%2015-12-20

JAX17proj +2.156%2015-12-20

IND10proj +0.652%2015-12-20

NYG35proj -5.436%2015-12-20

NE33proj +19.892%2015-12-20

WSH35proj -0.150%2015-12-20

BAL14proj -5.236%2015-12-20

SEA30proj +17.890%2015-12-20

LV20proj -4.538%2015-12-20

PIT34proj +3.260%2015-12-20

LAC30proj +2.758%2015-12-20

SF14proj -6.234%2015-12-21

PHI17proj -4.039%2015-12-22

NO27proj +2.658%

Week 16

LV23proj +2.357%2015-12-27

PHI24proj +2.257%2015-12-27

NYJ26proj -5.535%2015-12-27

TEN6proj -6.533%2015-12-27

KC17proj +17.790%2015-12-27

MIA12proj +0.151%2015-12-27

NO38proj +3.961%2015-12-27

DET32proj +6.267%2015-12-27

BUF16proj +4.864%2015-12-27

TB21proj +2.758%2015-12-27

ATL20proj -9.126%2015-12-27

SEA17proj +13.283%2015-12-27

ARI38proj +6.067%2015-12-27

BAL20proj -6.533%2015-12-28

MIN49proj +5.465%2015-12-29

DEN20proj +2.357%

Week 17

BUF22proj +0.452%2016-01-03

MIA20proj -11.321%2016-01-03

CAR38proj +15.186%2016-01-03

ATL17proj +4.864%2016-01-03

CIN24proj +8.874%2016-01-03

CLE12proj -10.024%2016-01-03

HOU30proj +9.074%2016-01-03

IND30proj +9.074%2016-01-03

KC23proj +12.682%2016-01-03

DAL23proj -1.048%2016-01-03

NYG30proj +3.460%2016-01-03

CHI20proj -0.150%2016-01-03

DEN27proj +10.377%2016-01-03

ARI6proj +5.466%2016-01-03

SF19proj -2.344%2016-01-04

GB13proj +3.961%

Postseason

HOU0proj -2.743%wild-card

CIN16proj +1.454%wild-card

WSH18proj +0.552%wild-card

MIN9proj -1.546%divisional

NE27proj +0.953%divisional

ARI26proj +6.668%divisional

DEN23proj +3.059%divisional

CAR31proj +3.661%conference

DEN20proj +3.059%conference

CAR49proj +4.563%super-bowl

DEN24proj +1.555%